资本预算方法问题
- 名称:资本预算方法问题
- 类型:公司理财
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- 更新时间:06-26 21:40:23
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- 语言简体中文
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AbstractIarguethatthemainstreamapproachtocapitalbudgetingfocusesexcessivelyonthespecialcasewherediversifiablerisksdonotaffectthecontributionofaprojecttothevalueofthefirm.Thisapproachignorestheimpactofanewprojectonafirm’stotalriskandthereforeoftenleadstoaninappropriateassessmentofthevalueoftheproject.Ipresentargumentsforwhytotalriskisoftencostlyanddiscusshowtakingtotalriskintoaccountincapitalbudgetingisnecessarytomakecapitalbudgetingandcapitalstructuredecisionsconsistent.EveryMBAknowsattheendofherstudieshowtovalueaproject.Shewillhavebeentaughtthataprojectincreasesshareholderwealthifthenetpresentvalueofthatprojectispositive.Tocomputethatnetpresentvalue,shehastoforecastthecashflowsoftheprojectanddiscountthematadiscountratethatreflectsthepricechargedbythecapitalmarketsfortheriskofthecashflows.Incomputingthenetpresentvalueoftheproject,theMBAstudentistoldrepeatedlythatthevolatilityoftheproject’scashflowsinnowayaffectsitsvalueparingtwoprojectsthathavethesameexpectedcashflows,theprojectwithmorevolatilecashflowscanbemoreorlessvaluablethantheprojectwiththelessvolatilecashflows.Furthermore,thestudentwillbetoldthatitdoesnotmatterhowthecashflowsoftheprojectarecorrelatedwiththecashflowsofthefirmbecausethefirm’stotalriskdoesnotaffectitsvalue.Asaresultofthesearguments,thediscountratedependsonlyontheproject’sriskasmeasuredbythecapitalmarkets.Hence,unlesstherearesynergiesbetweentheprojectandtheexistinginvestmentsofthefirm,theproject’svalueisthesameirrespectiveofthefirmthatundertakesit.Thewaycapitalbudgetingistaughtandpracticedpresentsahugeparadox.Muchoftheacademicresearchincorporatefinanceofthelasttwenty-fiveyearshasfocusedonemphasizingtheimplicationsforcapitalstructureandinvestmentdecisionsofreallifeimpedimentstocontractingsuchastheimpossibilityofwritingcontractsthatspecifyeverycontingencyandtheexistenceofimportantinformationasymmetriesbetweenmanagersandinvestorsthathinderfirms’abilitytoraisefunds.Paradoxically,however,ifthesedevelopmentshaveanimpactwhenitcomestotheteachingcapitalbudgetingorwhenfirmsimplementcapitalbudgetingastheirmanagersweretoldtodoinbusinessschools,itisalmostasanafterthought.ModerncorporatefinancestartedwiththeModigliani-Millerpropositions.,大小:2.79 MB
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